The best time to apply for popular Capital One credit cards based on offer history


When you’re looking to apply for a credit card, you may wonder: “How good is the welcome offer I’m applying for?”

There’s no simple answer to this question, but knowing the previous offers a card has had can help you determine what a good welcome offer is. Getting any welcome offer is better than getting nothing at all, but you wouldn’t want to apply for a card and then see a higher offer a month later.

We’ve collected and analyzed the offer history over the past few years for Capital One’s most popular cards and determined the best time to apply for each card.

It’s important to note that we’ll only discuss publicly available welcome offers. However, you might receive targeted offers that offer more bonus miles or cash back. Keep in mind that offers may change at any time, and some of those mentioned below may not be available.

Best Capital One credit card welcome bonuses

Card Best welcome offer we’ve seen When to apply

Earn up to 100,000 bonus miles after spending $5,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

When the bonus offer is 75,000 miles or higher

Earn up to 150,000 bonus miles: 75,000 miles after spending $7,500 in the first three months, and an additional 75,000 miles after spending $30,000 in the first six months from account opening.

When the bonus offer is 75,000 miles or higher

Earn 100,000 bonus miles after spending $10,000 on purchases within the first six months of account opening

When the bonus offer is 75,000 miles or higher

Earn up to 400,000 bonus miles: 200,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening, plus an additional 200,000 miles after spending $150,000 on purchases in the first six months of account opening

When the bonus offer is 150,000 miles or higher

Earn 40,000 miles after spending $1,000 in the first three months of account opening

When the bonus offer is 20,000 miles or higher

Enjoy a $100 Capital One Travel credit to use in the first cardholder year. Plus, earn a $200 cash bonus after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

When the bonus offer is $200 or higher

Enjoy a $100 Capital One Travel credit to use in the first cardholder year. Plus, earn a $200 cash bonus after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

When the bonus offer is $200 or higher

Earn Up to $3,000: $500 after spending $5,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening and $2,500 after spending $50,000 on purchases in the first six months

When the bonus is $1,000 or higher

Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card

The Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card earns an unlimited 2 miles per dollar spent on every purchase, plus 5 miles per dollar spent on hotels, rental cars and vacation rentals booked through Capital One Travel.

The card’s modest $95 annual fee, simple earning structure and solid return on everyday spending make it a keeper once you’re approved for it.

Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One Venture Rewards:

Welcome offer history

Approximate date Offer Value*

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months

$1,388

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months, plus a $250 Capital One Travel credit to use in your first cardholder year

Up to $1,638, including the statement credit

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months

$1,388

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months, plus a $250 Capital One Travel credit to use in your first cardholder year

Up to $1,638, including the statement credit

September 2024 to February 2025

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months

$1,388

75,000 bonus miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening, plus a $250 Capital One Travel credit in the first cardholder year

Up to $1,638, if you maximize the entire credit

80,000 to 100,000 miles after spending $5,000 on purchases in the first three months (targeted offer available through QR codes at select airports)

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening (public offer)

$1,480 to $1,850 (targeted offer)

$1,388 (public offer)

September 2021 to June 2023

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months

$1,388

*Bonus offer value is based on TPG’s April 2026 valuations and not provided by the credit card issuer.

Highest welcome offer

The highest offer we’ve seen on this card allowed new cardholders to earn up to 100,000 bonus miles after spending $5,000 on purchases within the first three months of account opening.

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When to apply for this card

When the bonus offer is 75,000 miles or higher, it meets our criteria on when to apply.


Learn more: Capital One Venture Rewards Credit Card


Related: Is the Capital One Venture Rewards card worth it?

Capital One Venture Business

The Capital One Venture Business card is a straightforward option for business owners who want consistent travel rewards without tracking bonus categories. With a $95 annual fee, it offers simple earning rates, easy-to-use credits and flexible redemption options that help offset the cost year after year.

While it doesn’t come with premium perks like lounge access, its simplicity and solid earning structure make it a reliable long-term choice for everyday business spending.

Woman shopping online and relaxing on the sofa at home
LEOPATRIZI/GETTY IMAGES

Highest welcome offer

The current offer of up to 150,000 miles (75,000 miles after spending $7,500 on purchases in the first three months, and an additional 75,000 miles once you spend $30,000 on purchases in the first six months) is the only offer we’ve seen so far.

When to apply for this card

As a newly launched card, the Venture Business doesn’t yet have a long-term offer history. Since there’s limited historical data, we recommend applying when the base bonus is 75,000 miles or higher.


Learn more: Capital One Venture Business


Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card

With plentiful, easy-to-understand perks, the Capital One Venture X is a no-brainer for all travelers, from luxury seekers to the more budget-minded, and the card practically pays for itself year after year.

Though the card carries a $395 annual fee, it offers a $300 annual credit toward bookings made through Capital One Travel and rewards cardholders with 10,000 bonus miles each account anniversary.

Capital One Venture X card
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One Venture X:

Welcome offer history

Approximate date Offer Value*

Earn 75,000 bonus miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$1,388

November 2025 to January 2026

100,000 bonus miles after spending $10,000 on purchases within the first six months of account opening

$1,850

March 2022 to November 2025

75,000 miles after spending $4,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening

$1,388

*Bonus offer value is based on TPG’s April 2026 valuations and not provided by the credit card issuer.

Highest welcome offer

The highest offer we’ve seen on this card offered 100,000 bonus miles earned after spending $10,000 on purchases within the first six months of account opening.

When to apply for this card

When the bonus offer is 75,000 miles or higher, it’s a good time to apply.


Learn more: Capital One Venture X Rewards Credit Card


Related: Is the Capital One Venture X worth the $395 annual fee?

Capital One Venture X Business

The Venture X Business launched in early 2023 with an incredible welcome bonus and a matching sky-high spending requirement.

The Venture X Business carries the same $395 annual fee as the personal version and offers the same major perks, including a $300 annual travel credit for bookings made through Capital One Business Travel and access to Capital One and participating Priority Pass lounges. It also carries the same earning rates as the Venture X.

a hand holds a credit card
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One Venture X Business:

Welcome offer history

Approximate date Offer Value*

Earn 150,000 bonus miles after spending $30,000 in the first three months from account opening.

$2,775

Up to 400,000 bonus miles: 200,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening, plus an additional 200,000 miles after spending $150,000 on purchases in the first six months.

Up to $7,400

150,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$2,775

Up to 350,000 miles: 150,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening, plus an additional 200,000 miles after spending $200,000 on purchases in the first six months of account opening

Up to $6,475

150,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$2,775

Up to 300,000 miles: 150,000 miles after spending $20,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening and another 150,000 miles after spending $100,000 on purchases in the first six months of account opening

$5,550

September 2023 to January 2024

150,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$2,775

Up to 300,000 miles: 150,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months of account opening and another 150,000 miles after spending $500,000 on purchases in the first six months of account opening.

$5,550

*Bonus offer value is based on TPG’s April 2026 valuations and not provided by the credit card issuer.

Highest welcome offer

The highest offer we’ve seen on this card is up to 400,000 bonus miles: Earn 200,000 miles after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening, plus an additional 200,000 miles after spending $150,000 on purchases in the first six months.

When to apply for this card

When the bonus offer is 150,000 miles or higher, it meets our criteria for when to apply.


Learn more: Capital One Venture X Business


Related: Is the Venture X Business worth the $395 annual fee?

Capital One VentureOne Rewards Credit Card

While it comes with fewer perks, the Capital One VentureOne Rewards offers the same great redemption options as its sister cards, the Capital One Venture Rewards and the Capital One Venture X, with no annual fee. You’ll earn a flat 1.25 miles per dollar spent on everyday purchases.

Card art of the Capital One VentureOne
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One VentureOne Rewards:

Approximate date Offer Value*

Earn 20,000 miles after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening.

$370

Earn 20,000 miles after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening. Plus, receive a $100 credit to use toward flights, stays, and rental cars booked through Capital One Travel during the first cardholder year.

$470

Earn 20,000 miles after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening.

$370

Earn 40,000 miles after spending $1,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening.

$740

*Bonus offer value is based on TPG’s April 2026 valuations and not provided by the credit card issuer.

Highest welcome offer

The highest offer we’ve seen allowed new cardholders to earn 40,000 miles after spending $1,000 in the first three months of account opening.

When to apply for this card

When the bonus offer is 20,000 miles or higher.


Learn more: Capital One VentureOne Rewards Credit Card


Related: How (and why) you should earn transferable credit card points

Capital One Savor Cash Rewards Credit Card

The biggest downsides to cash-back cards are low earning rates and a lack of bonus categories, but that’s definitely not true of the Capital One Savor Cash Rewards.

For no annual fee, the Savor offers strong cash-back earning rates on popular and often overlooked categories, including 3% back on dining, entertainment and popular streaming services.

Capital One Savor
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One Savor Cash Rewards:

Approximate date Offer Value

Earn $200 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$200

Earn $200 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening. Plus, receive an additional $100 credit to use toward flights, stays and rental cars booked through Capital One Travel during your first cardholder year.

$300

December 2024 to August 2025

Earn $200 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$200

Earn $250 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$250

Highest welcome offer

The highest offer we’ve seen included a $100 Capital One Travel credit to use in the first year. Plus, new cardholders could receive a $200 cash bonus after spending $500 on purchases within the first three months of account opening.

When to apply for this card

When the bonus offer is $200 or higher, it meets our criteria for when to apply.


Learn more: Capital One Savor Cash Rewards Credit Card


Related: The pros and cons of cash-back credit cards

Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards Credit Card

The Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards is another great card with no annual fee. It earns a reliable 1.5% cash back on all purchases, making it a perfect go-to card for the odd purchase that doesn’t fit in any bonus categories.

While many other cards offer higher earning potential in specific spending categories, this card offers the safety of knowing you’ll earn a solid 1.5% back no matter what you buy.

Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards:

Approximate date Offer Value

Earn $200 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$200

Earn $200 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening. Plus, receive an additional $100 credit to use toward flights, stays and rental cars booked through Capital One Travel during your first cardholder year

$300

October 2020 to August 2025

Earn $200 after spending $500 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$200

Highest welcome offer

The highest offer we’ve seen included a $100 Capital One Travel credit to use in the first year. Plus, new cardholders could receive a $200 cash bonus after spending $500 on purchases within the first three months of account opening.

When to apply for this card

When the bonus offer is $200 or higher, it meets our criteria for when to apply.


Learn more: Capital One Quicksilver Cash Rewards Credit Card


Related: Business cards vs. personal cards: Key differences

Capital One Spark Cash Plus

The Capital One Spark Cash Plus earns 2% cash back on all purchases and is ideal for business owners who want to earn reliable cash-back rewards on all their expenses. It is worth noting that this is a no preset spending limit card, meaning cardholders must pay off their balances in full each month.

The card has a modest $150 annual fee that can be refunded when you spend at least $150,000.

Capital One Spark Cash Plus
THE POINTS GUY

Here are the offers we’ve seen on the Capital One Spark Cash Plus:

Welcome offer history

Approximate date Offer Value

$2,000 cash back after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening and an additional $2,000 cash bonus for every $500,000 spent during the first year

$2,000 (or more, depending on spending in the first year)

$1,200 cash back after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$1,200

Up to $3,000: $1,500 after spending $20,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening and an additional $1,500 after spending $100,000 on purchases in the first six months from account opening

Up to $3,000

June 2023 to January 2024

$1,200 cash back after spending $30,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening

$1,200

Up to $1,000: $500 after spending $5,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening and $500 after spending $50,000 on purchases in the first six months from account opening

Up to $1,000

August 2021 to April 2022

Up to $3,000: $500 after spending $5,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening and $2,500 after spending $50,000 on purchases in the first six months from account opening

Up to $3,000

Highest welcome offer

The highest welcome offer we’ve seen on this card offered up to $3,000: $500 after spending $5,000 on purchases in the first three months from account opening and $2,500 after spending $50,000 on purchases in the first six months from account opening.

When to apply for this card

When the bonus is higher than $1,000, it meets our criteria to apply.


Learn more: Capital One Spark Cash Plus


Related: A guide to Capital One’s Spark business cards

Bottom line

Before you go fill out a Capital One credit card application, you’ll want to ensure you can get the best welcome bonus possible. We’ve collected data year over year on Capital One welcome offers that can provide you with some guidance on the best time to apply.

This guide can serve as a reference for the best time to apply for your next Capital One card.

Check out our other offer history guides when you’re looking to apply for your next credit card:

For Capital One products listed on this page, some of the benefits may be provided by Visa® or Mastercard® and may vary by product. See the respective Guide to Benefits for details, as terms and exclusions apply.



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Recent Reviews


Taxpayers often submit refund claims when they discover that they overpaid their taxes. Taxpayers usually do this by submitting a formal refund claim using the IRS’s prescribed forms. But this is not always required.

In many cases, taxpayers will submit so-called “informal refund claims” to the IRS during the course of an IRS audit. The IRS treats these informal claims as a refund claim as if the proper tax forms were filed. Given that the tax forms are often not used for informal claims, there may be less certainty as to what the taxpayer’s claim entails. The informal claim itself may just be various business records, complications, etc. or a myriad of other records that the taxpayer submits to the auditor.

This leads to the question as to whether the “variance doctrine,” which can prohibit taxpayers from litigating certain claims in court if they differ substantially from the taxpayer’s position on audit, applies to informal refund claims. The recent Express Scripts, Inc. v. United States, No. 4:21-cv-00035-HEA (E.D. Mo. Feb. 24, 2025) case provides an opportunity to consider this question.

Facts & Procedural History

The taxpayer in this case is a pharmacy benefit manager. It processes prescription drug claims for health plan sponsors and operates mail-order pharmacies.

During an IRS examination, the taxpayer submitted informal claims to the IRS auditor for Section 199 domestic production tax deductions that it omitted from its originally-filed tax returns.

As part of this process, the company provided the IRS with detailed workpapers and memoranda categorizing various revenue streams. These documents specifically identified certain “rebate” revenue and portions of their “mail claims” revenue (those manually entered into their system) as non-qualifying revenue streams that should be excluded from their Domestic Production Gross Receipts (“DPGR”) calculations. The taxpayer took the same positions in the formal administrative refund claims they later filed with the IRS for refunds for the years 2010, 2011, and 2012.

Nearly a decade after the initial claims, the taxpayer determined that both the rebate revenue and manually entered mail claims were qualifying for the Section 199 deduction. The taxpayer filed suit seeking refunds of federal income taxes for tax years 2010, 2011, and 2012, claiming it properly qualified for the Section 199 tax deduction for its rebate revenue and manually entered mail claims.

The government moved to dismiss the portions of the refund claims relating to rebate revenue and manually entered mail claims, arguing that the taxpayer was barred by the “substantial variance doctrine” from including revenue streams in tax litigation when they had specifically excluded them during the administrative claims process.

The Framework for Tax Refund Claims

Section 7422(a) allows taxpayers to sue the government for tax refunds. This is one of the permissible means to litigate a tax issue.

Section 7422 states that no suit for tax recovery can be maintained in any court “until a claim for refund or credit has been duly filed with the Secretary, according to the provisions of law in that regard, and the regulations of the Secretary established in pursuance thereof.”

This is the foundation for what courts often call the “pay first, litigate later” system for tax disputes. Under this framework, taxpayers must first pay the disputed tax, then file an administrative refund claim with the IRS, and only afterward can they pursue litigation if the IRS denies their claim or fails to act within six months.

The treasury regulations provide specific requirements for these administrative refund claims. Treasury Regulation § 301.6402-2(b) states that a claim “must set forth in detail each ground upon which a credit or refund is claimed and facts sufficient to apprise the commissioner of the exact basis thereof.” This regulation serves as the foundation for the substantial variance doctrine that limits what taxpayers can argue once they get to court.

What Is the Substantial Variance Doctrine?

The substantial variance doctrine operates as a jurisdictional limitation on tax refund litigation. As articulated in Lockheed Martin Corp. v. United States, 210 F.3d 1366, 1371 (Fed. Cir. 2000), which involved a research tax credit, a taxpayer is barred from presenting claims in a tax refund action that “substantially vary” the legal theories and factual bases set forth in the tax refund claim presented to the IRS.

The doctrine has two distinct branches: one addressing legal theories and another addressing factual bases. For legal theories, the rule states that “any legal theory not expressly or impliedly contained in the application for refund cannot be considered by a court in which a suit for refund is subsequently initiated.” This means taxpayers cannot pursue entirely new legal arguments in court that weren’t presented to the IRS.

The factual variance branch, which was at issue in the Express Scripts case, prohibits taxpayers from substantially varying the factual bases raised in their refund claims. This rule is not all that strict. Minor factual variations are permitted. Taxpayers cannot introduce entirely new factual elements that the IRS never had an opportunity to consider.

Why Does the Variance Doctrine Exist?

The substantial variance rule serves three primary purposes. First, it gives the IRS notice as to the nature of the claim and the specific facts upon which it is predicated. This notice function ensures that the IRS understands exactly what the taxpayer is claiming and why.

Second, it gives the IRS an opportunity to correct errors administratively. This purpose reflects the preference for resolving tax disputes at the administrative level rather than through costly litigation.

Third, it limits any subsequent litigation to those grounds that the IRS had an opportunity to consider and is willing to defend. This purpose helps ensure that courts aren’t faced with entirely new claims that the IRS never had a chance to review.

These purposes reflect the fundamental principle that tax litigation over refund claims is meant to be a review of the IRS’s administrative determination, not an entirely new proceeding where taxpayers can raise new issues.

Applying the Variance Doctrine to Informal Claims

Most refund claims follow the formal procedures outlined in IRS regulations, typically involving the filing of Forms 1040X for individuals, Forms 1120X for corporations, etc. However, courts have long recognized the “informal claim doctrine,” which allows taxpayers to satisfy the administrative claim requirement through less formal means.

An informal claim can suffice when it puts the IRS on notice that the taxpayer is seeking a refund, describes the legal and factual basis for the refund, and has some written component. IRS audits often provide opportunities for taxpayers to make these informal claims as part of the examination process.

The taxpayer in this case made its initial claims through informal claims during an IRS examination, providing detailed workpapers and memoranda. But does the variance doctrine apply differently to informal claims than to formal ones?

The answer is no. Courts have consistently held that the substantial variance doctrine applies equally to informal claims. In fact, the requirements for specificity can be even more important for informal claims, as the IRS must be able to determine from sometimes less structured submissions exactly what the taxpayer is claiming. This case is an example of the court applying the variance doctrine to informal claims.

Merely Additional Evidence of the Amount

The taxpayer argued that the variance doctrine did not apply as the inclusion of rebates and manually entered pharmacy claims merely represented “additional evidence” of the amount of their Section 199 deduction. They contended that because they were still seeking the same Section 199 deduction, there was no substantial variance in their legal theory.

The court rejected this argument, focusing on the fact that the taxpayer had “specifically excluded these amounts throughout the entire administrative claims period and indeed, through this action until it was asserted in the expert reports.” The court found that the taxpayer’s addition of this revenue “changes the facts upon which the IRS assessed Plaintiffs’ claims.”

The court emphasized that Express Scripts “specifically declined to include these items in its claim. As such, the IRS was not given the opportunity to review whether they were properly designated as gross receipts.” Because the IRS never had the opportunity to consider whether these additional revenue streams qualified for the deduction, the substantial variance doctrine barred their inclusion in the litigation.

What if the IRS Reviews the Position on Audit?

The taxpayer also argued that the IRS had waived the substantial variance doctrine by considering the allocation of DPGR. This approach reflects a strategy sometimes used in tax audits where taxpayers argue that the IRS has effectively waived technical requirements by addressing the merits of a claim.

The court rejected this waiver argument on factual grounds, noting that the taxpayer had “specifically exempted the rebates and manually entered mail pharmacy claims” from consideration, so the IRS “could not have considered the merits of these claims because they were not before the IRS for examination.”

The court’s reasoning highlights a critical point: taxpayers cannot claim waiver based on the IRS’s consideration of issues that were never actually presented to the IRS. The waiver argument can only work when the IRS actually considers facts or theories that were raised in the administrative claim.

The Takeaway

This case shows how important it is to provide clear detail and consistency when submitting tax refund claims to the IRS. This includes informal claims submitted to the IRS on audit. Taxpayers who specifically exclude certain factual bases from their administrative refund claims—whether formal or informal—may not be able to later include those bases in litigation, even if their legal theory remains unchanged. The substantial variance doctrine operates as a jurisdictional bar in these cases, which can serve to deny the taxpayer their day in court.

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