Taking a Flight or Road Trip This July Fourth? Use These Tips to Travel Smarter and Cheaper


Subaru with Kayaks with mountains in the background.

This July Fourth week, more Americans are expected to travel than last year, but not everyone will see savings — proper planning is needed. 

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Fireworks, beach days and cookouts make July Fourth one of the most fun weekends of the year — even with the record-setting heat wave coming our way. To me, this upcoming weekend is the peak of the summer season. This year, though, many travelers are planning with extra factors in mind: higher costs and more travelers than ever before. 

AAA projects that 72.2 million Americans will travel at least 50 miles from home between June 27 and July 5, with an estimated 61.4 million expected to drive to reach their destinations. With inflated gas and ticket prices, you may be wondering how to keep costs down. Below, I’ll break down some important travel stats and tips, so you can make the most of your holiday weekend. 

Gas prices vs. the rest of your travel bills

Between filling up the tank and paying for lodging and airfare, you may feel like girding your loins and guarding your wallet this year.

For drivers, gas will be the major factor, as prices have reached four-year highs of more than $4 a gallon. Gas prices have been surging this year, beginning in March, in connection with the Iran War. Due to the conflict, oil shipping routes and crude oil supplies have been drastically restricted, leading to higher rates at the gas pump. For context, the average gallon of regular gas was just under $3 in the US before the Iran War began in late February. 

AAA points out that although gasoline has gotten more expensive, filling up during a road trip can still be cheaper for many families than flying, especially when you’re traveling with kids or a group and can split the gas costs.

Meanwhile, air travel is also not getting easier as AAA forecasts that 5.85 million Americans will fly over the holiday week (only a 0.2% increase over last year), and domestic flights are averaging around $830 per ticket. AAA says round-trip domestic flights to top destinations are about 5% more expensive than last year at this time, based on booking data

Car rentals are expected to be roughly 10% more expensive than last year during this holiday week, according to AAA, with Thursday, July 2, slated to be the busiest pickup day. That means driving your own car might still be more economical than flying and renting a vehicle. 

Don’t forget charging costs for EV drivers

For electric vehicle owners, the holiday math is different… but it’s still math. 

AAA reports the national average cost of electricity at public EV charging stations is 41 cents per kilowatt-hour, as of June 18, 2026. So while EV charging may not fluctuate as drastically as gasoline, the trip budget still depends on how often you stop, how fast you charge and what you can reliably access along the way.

The way to get the most savings from an EV is to charge at home, but you can’t always do that if you’re road-tripping. Still, at 41 cents per kilowatt-hour, charging at public stations is likely cheaper per mile than paying for gas in an internal-combustion vehicle. 

Traffic check

Even if you manage costs well, getting stuck in traffic can turn an affordable plan into an exhausting one. That means planning your routes and ETAs will be incredibly important. 

AAA expects the busiest days to be this Thursday, July 2, Friday, July 3, and Sunday, July 5, with the most congested hours on the road between 3 p.m. to 6 p.m. on average.  

That makes Saturday, July 4, the lighter day overall, but AAA still expects a spike in traffic from about 10 a.m. to 2 p.m. as people head to their plans. 

How to make the trip easier and save money

  • Leave earlier than you think you need to: Timing matters. AAA’s forecast suggests that if you can avoid the late afternoon peak, you’ll likely spend less time idling in traffic and more time enjoying your destination and holiday plans.
  • Make a quick “road-trip readiness” check before you pull out: AAA reports that 687,000 roadside assistance calls were made during the July Fourth weekend last year. A pretrip inspection can reduce common problems like dead batteries and flat tires, which can blow up schedules and add unexpected costs.
  • If you’re flying, build flexibility into your dates: Weekdays tend to be less expensive to fly, and choosing basic economy, booking airport parking in advance and bringing your own meals can help you save.
  • Plan for safety before you plan for speed: AAA encourages drivers to commit to safety initiatives like “100 Days of Safe Driving” to prevent accidents and “Slow Down, Move Over” when approaching stopped vehicles on the roadside because delays, breakdowns and roadside workers can appear anywhere and anytime during a holiday rush.

More Americans are expected to travel this July Fourth week than last year, but that trip will likely be more expensive, especially without proper planning. Americans are still choosing to plan trips despite higher costs, and the road is the more popular option. 

For many travelers, smart timing, basic vehicle preparation and a flexible plan for flights (or charging stops) can make the difference between a trip that drains your budget and one that is so seamless that you will only remember the fun and fireworks. 





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Taxpayers often submit refund claims when they discover that they overpaid their taxes. Taxpayers usually do this by submitting a formal refund claim using the IRS’s prescribed forms. But this is not always required.

In many cases, taxpayers will submit so-called “informal refund claims” to the IRS during the course of an IRS audit. The IRS treats these informal claims as a refund claim as if the proper tax forms were filed. Given that the tax forms are often not used for informal claims, there may be less certainty as to what the taxpayer’s claim entails. The informal claim itself may just be various business records, complications, etc. or a myriad of other records that the taxpayer submits to the auditor.

This leads to the question as to whether the “variance doctrine,” which can prohibit taxpayers from litigating certain claims in court if they differ substantially from the taxpayer’s position on audit, applies to informal refund claims. The recent Express Scripts, Inc. v. United States, No. 4:21-cv-00035-HEA (E.D. Mo. Feb. 24, 2025) case provides an opportunity to consider this question.

Facts & Procedural History

The taxpayer in this case is a pharmacy benefit manager. It processes prescription drug claims for health plan sponsors and operates mail-order pharmacies.

During an IRS examination, the taxpayer submitted informal claims to the IRS auditor for Section 199 domestic production tax deductions that it omitted from its originally-filed tax returns.

As part of this process, the company provided the IRS with detailed workpapers and memoranda categorizing various revenue streams. These documents specifically identified certain “rebate” revenue and portions of their “mail claims” revenue (those manually entered into their system) as non-qualifying revenue streams that should be excluded from their Domestic Production Gross Receipts (“DPGR”) calculations. The taxpayer took the same positions in the formal administrative refund claims they later filed with the IRS for refunds for the years 2010, 2011, and 2012.

Nearly a decade after the initial claims, the taxpayer determined that both the rebate revenue and manually entered mail claims were qualifying for the Section 199 deduction. The taxpayer filed suit seeking refunds of federal income taxes for tax years 2010, 2011, and 2012, claiming it properly qualified for the Section 199 tax deduction for its rebate revenue and manually entered mail claims.

The government moved to dismiss the portions of the refund claims relating to rebate revenue and manually entered mail claims, arguing that the taxpayer was barred by the “substantial variance doctrine” from including revenue streams in tax litigation when they had specifically excluded them during the administrative claims process.

The Framework for Tax Refund Claims

Section 7422(a) allows taxpayers to sue the government for tax refunds. This is one of the permissible means to litigate a tax issue.

Section 7422 states that no suit for tax recovery can be maintained in any court “until a claim for refund or credit has been duly filed with the Secretary, according to the provisions of law in that regard, and the regulations of the Secretary established in pursuance thereof.”

This is the foundation for what courts often call the “pay first, litigate later” system for tax disputes. Under this framework, taxpayers must first pay the disputed tax, then file an administrative refund claim with the IRS, and only afterward can they pursue litigation if the IRS denies their claim or fails to act within six months.

The treasury regulations provide specific requirements for these administrative refund claims. Treasury Regulation § 301.6402-2(b) states that a claim “must set forth in detail each ground upon which a credit or refund is claimed and facts sufficient to apprise the commissioner of the exact basis thereof.” This regulation serves as the foundation for the substantial variance doctrine that limits what taxpayers can argue once they get to court.

What Is the Substantial Variance Doctrine?

The substantial variance doctrine operates as a jurisdictional limitation on tax refund litigation. As articulated in Lockheed Martin Corp. v. United States, 210 F.3d 1366, 1371 (Fed. Cir. 2000), which involved a research tax credit, a taxpayer is barred from presenting claims in a tax refund action that “substantially vary” the legal theories and factual bases set forth in the tax refund claim presented to the IRS.

The doctrine has two distinct branches: one addressing legal theories and another addressing factual bases. For legal theories, the rule states that “any legal theory not expressly or impliedly contained in the application for refund cannot be considered by a court in which a suit for refund is subsequently initiated.” This means taxpayers cannot pursue entirely new legal arguments in court that weren’t presented to the IRS.

The factual variance branch, which was at issue in the Express Scripts case, prohibits taxpayers from substantially varying the factual bases raised in their refund claims. This rule is not all that strict. Minor factual variations are permitted. Taxpayers cannot introduce entirely new factual elements that the IRS never had an opportunity to consider.

Why Does the Variance Doctrine Exist?

The substantial variance rule serves three primary purposes. First, it gives the IRS notice as to the nature of the claim and the specific facts upon which it is predicated. This notice function ensures that the IRS understands exactly what the taxpayer is claiming and why.

Second, it gives the IRS an opportunity to correct errors administratively. This purpose reflects the preference for resolving tax disputes at the administrative level rather than through costly litigation.

Third, it limits any subsequent litigation to those grounds that the IRS had an opportunity to consider and is willing to defend. This purpose helps ensure that courts aren’t faced with entirely new claims that the IRS never had a chance to review.

These purposes reflect the fundamental principle that tax litigation over refund claims is meant to be a review of the IRS’s administrative determination, not an entirely new proceeding where taxpayers can raise new issues.

Applying the Variance Doctrine to Informal Claims

Most refund claims follow the formal procedures outlined in IRS regulations, typically involving the filing of Forms 1040X for individuals, Forms 1120X for corporations, etc. However, courts have long recognized the “informal claim doctrine,” which allows taxpayers to satisfy the administrative claim requirement through less formal means.

An informal claim can suffice when it puts the IRS on notice that the taxpayer is seeking a refund, describes the legal and factual basis for the refund, and has some written component. IRS audits often provide opportunities for taxpayers to make these informal claims as part of the examination process.

The taxpayer in this case made its initial claims through informal claims during an IRS examination, providing detailed workpapers and memoranda. But does the variance doctrine apply differently to informal claims than to formal ones?

The answer is no. Courts have consistently held that the substantial variance doctrine applies equally to informal claims. In fact, the requirements for specificity can be even more important for informal claims, as the IRS must be able to determine from sometimes less structured submissions exactly what the taxpayer is claiming. This case is an example of the court applying the variance doctrine to informal claims.

Merely Additional Evidence of the Amount

The taxpayer argued that the variance doctrine did not apply as the inclusion of rebates and manually entered pharmacy claims merely represented “additional evidence” of the amount of their Section 199 deduction. They contended that because they were still seeking the same Section 199 deduction, there was no substantial variance in their legal theory.

The court rejected this argument, focusing on the fact that the taxpayer had “specifically excluded these amounts throughout the entire administrative claims period and indeed, through this action until it was asserted in the expert reports.” The court found that the taxpayer’s addition of this revenue “changes the facts upon which the IRS assessed Plaintiffs’ claims.”

The court emphasized that Express Scripts “specifically declined to include these items in its claim. As such, the IRS was not given the opportunity to review whether they were properly designated as gross receipts.” Because the IRS never had the opportunity to consider whether these additional revenue streams qualified for the deduction, the substantial variance doctrine barred their inclusion in the litigation.

What if the IRS Reviews the Position on Audit?

The taxpayer also argued that the IRS had waived the substantial variance doctrine by considering the allocation of DPGR. This approach reflects a strategy sometimes used in tax audits where taxpayers argue that the IRS has effectively waived technical requirements by addressing the merits of a claim.

The court rejected this waiver argument on factual grounds, noting that the taxpayer had “specifically exempted the rebates and manually entered mail pharmacy claims” from consideration, so the IRS “could not have considered the merits of these claims because they were not before the IRS for examination.”

The court’s reasoning highlights a critical point: taxpayers cannot claim waiver based on the IRS’s consideration of issues that were never actually presented to the IRS. The waiver argument can only work when the IRS actually considers facts or theories that were raised in the administrative claim.

The Takeaway

This case shows how important it is to provide clear detail and consistency when submitting tax refund claims to the IRS. This includes informal claims submitted to the IRS on audit. Taxpayers who specifically exclude certain factual bases from their administrative refund claims—whether formal or informal—may not be able to later include those bases in litigation, even if their legal theory remains unchanged. The substantial variance doctrine operates as a jurisdictional bar in these cases, which can serve to deny the taxpayer their day in court.

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